Decision for 2020-21 Academic Year

Re:Decision for 2020-21 Academic Year by eanzenberg on Monday July 06, 2020 @02:15PM (#23750927)

I’m not sure why a child-comment got killed: >>> Not true. Deaths only lag cases by 5-10 days. For example, in Italy daily new cases peaked on March 21st and daily deaths peaked on March 27th.

This is correct. People are expecting a step function of deaths exactly 4 weeks from the peak of cases? This is not statistical. Peak of deaths lag peak of cases closer to 1-5 days. If case growth is a matter of true rise of infections we would see modest increase of deaths about 2-3 weeks ago (cases started growing 4 weeks ago). We’ve only seen deaths drop on a exponential decay trend.

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Re:Decision for 2020-21 Academic Year by kube-system on Monday July 06, 2020 @04:32PM (#23752412)

Isn't it plausible this could be affected by other the changes in infection demographics, testing capability, and treatment options we've seen since then?

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Re:Decision for 2020-21 Academic Year by eanzenberg on Monday July 06, 2020 @06:07PM (#23753340)

Yes, it’s related to all those things including the never-talked-about problem that the lockdown is ineffective at suppressing the inevitable spread of corona

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