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A comment on Decision for 2020-21 Academic Year. Parent comment

Re:Decision for 2020-21 Academic Year by IfOnlyYouKnew on Monday July 06, 2020 @02:15PM (#23750924)
Deaths are trending upwards, however, in Florida, Texas, Arizona, and all the other Southern hotspots.

This is an example of Simpson's paradox. You're looking at the sum of two different timelines, the virus in the Northeast (deaths declining) and the South (rising, but slow).

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Simpson's_paradox#/media/File:...

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/arizona-coronavi...

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/florida-coronavi...

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/texas-coronaviru...

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Re:Decision for 2020-21 Academic Year by josephcsible on Monday July 06, 2020 @03:12PM (#23751578)
Isn't Simpson's Paradox when something is true of both parts but not of the whole? Wouldn't that make it not apply if the death rate is falling in the Northeast but not in the South?
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Re:Decision for 2020-21 Academic Year by nostromo on Monday July 06, 2020 @03:16PM (#23751630)
Correct, this isn't Simpson's Paradox.
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