A lot of the premise of the big city trips is that you have money but no time, so you plan an expensive "weekend getaway" that crams in more experiences, which necessarily means going to a city like Tokyo or Paris or a luxury resort hotel in Hawaii or Dubai. In the coming years it's far more likely to be the opposite: Time but no money means you go on a backpacking or camping trip, or if you want more man-made thrills, the nearby amusement park or zoo, local concerts and theaters. But there's a broader shift in store, and I think that's the real point being made.

Overtourism of big destinations is not likely to end altogether, but the validity of their worth is premised on broader cultural narratives about what to venerate, what to be seen upholding, and that's bound to change as society does. In the past tourism served a purpose of exporting ideas about how to live: ideas about food, fashion, lifestyle could only truly be experienced by being there. Unusual merchandise could only be found where there was a center of trade. But as we live online more, exchange more of our goods by mail, a global city is, in effect, always with us, independent of the built infrastructure. And we hit a forcing function for moving in that direction by shutting down so much of the physical economy.

The bet here is that a lot of people will go on their first "small town 100 miles away" trip this year, and discover it was more fun than they were expecting. I'm still skeptical, but I'm a lot less skeptical than of the takes like "all workers will be remote forever".

More open spaces and places where social distancing is possible. Those Paris and Rome trips will probably not happen for the time being but maybe more people decide to drive (if feasible) to their local national park.

That's fair - I definitely buy that during the pandemic people will go to open places that they can drive to, but his comments felt more like they were addressing the post-pandemic world.

Consider the income instability these days with many types of jobs.

A park is on the affordable side compared to overseas travel, or plane travel in general, for many households.