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Re:Color Will Be The Pin That Bursts The Startup Bubble by DanLivesHere on Thursday March 24, 2011 @06:45PM (#2366341)
Yeah, but your drama is way off.

They claim 500MM active users. Assume that's a total lie, and it's 50MM. Assume their valuation is 100 billion (twice the Goldman round).

Let's also assume that they hit a P/E ratio of, oh, 10. (Google's at 22, Apple 19, Yahoo 18, so 10 is really low.)

So to hit a 100b valuation, they'd need to earn 10b annually, or $200/user.

$200/user is on the high end, but reasonable, at least as far as U.S. users are concerned.

(For what it's worth: Twitter would have been a good example, I think.)

Re:Color Will Be The Pin That Bursts The Startup Bubble by pclark on Thursday March 24, 2011 @07:20PM (#2366438)
Facebook has 500 Million active users, where active is defined as logging in at least once a month.