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Re:Santa Cruz, California bans predictive policing in U.S. f... by banads on Friday June 26, 2020 @05:16PM (#23657141)
What is horseshit? Nothing in your response is contrary to anything the person said that you're responding to
Re:Santa Cruz, California bans predictive policing in U.S. f... by adamsea on Saturday June 27, 2020 @12:30AM (#23659528)
Yes it is man.
Re:Santa Cruz, California bans predictive policing in U.S. f... by banads on Saturday June 27, 2020 @11:58AM (#23662591)
Quote which part was contrary
Re:Santa Cruz, California bans predictive policing in U.S. f... by adamsea on Saturday June 27, 2020 @11:03PM (#23666474)
Original/parent comment for this conversation said:

> There's a worrying trend in the conversation these days that has shifted from "there's a serious problem with racism in how police go about their job" to "we need less police". Folks in neighborhoods living with the constant threat of gang violence don't have the luxury to sit in their aeron chairs and argue about defunding the police. They face the very real threat of themselves or their loved ones being shot on the streets and statistically not by police.

The contrary part:

> The threat of gang violence is not mitigated by police response. The threat of gang violence is mitigated by providing much better options for people who would otherwise join gangs. Police presence is immaterial to the lack of gangs in affluent neighborhoods.

Original comment basically said "police are important to protect against violence in neighborhoods where there's a lot of it. W/the implication that said violence is gang violence.

The response argued that if we want to decrease or eliminate gang violence, we have to address the root issue, which is basically criminal neglect of neighborhoods (lack of schools, hospitals, entire communities systematically oppressed, disenfranchised, and neglected, etc) b/c of systemic racism.

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3698742/

'Conclusions. Relative “trauma deserts” with decreased access to immediate care were found in certain areas of Chicago and adversely affected mortality from GSWs. These results may inform decisions about trauma systems planning and funding.'

Where's the funding for hospitals where it's needed?

Or.

Let's look at the LA uprising (aka the LA riots). Let's look at Ferguson. Let's look at the riots in Baltimore. Those communities clearly had very strong feelings about the police.

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Re:Santa Cruz, California bans predictive policing in U.S. f... by ryankemper on Friday June 26, 2020 @05:58PM (#23657528)
So, you haven't provided _any_ citations or even vague references to Wikipedia articles, rather you just called their opinion FUD and left it at that. How am I, a 3rd-party observer of this thread, supposed to extract any value from such statements?

The person you were quoting did not provide rock-solid proof that having police helps reduce violence, but they did provide a citation showing that:

> Violence against persons in poor (51%) and low-income (50%) households was more likely to be reported to police than violence against persons in mid- (43%) and high-income (45%) households

from https://www.bjs.gov/content/pub/pdf/hpnvv0812.pdf

So you could certainly argue that they are actually irrational to call the police and thus the higher rate is explained by them incorrectly thinking police would help them. But it's tricky to argue that with no data :)

Cheers

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Re:Santa Cruz, California bans predictive policing in U.S. f... by banads on Friday June 26, 2020 @06:26PM (#23657757)
>What the fuck is calling the police going to do to prevent violence after a gang has done a drive by shooting?

To find the criminals that did that and put them in prison to prevent them from doing that again?

Re:Santa Cruz, California bans predictive policing in U.S. f... by Misdicorl on Friday June 26, 2020 @06:42PM (#23657881)
But the original argument is talking about worrying response times, not conviction rates!
Re:Santa Cruz, California bans predictive policing in U.S. f... by merpnderp on Friday June 26, 2020 @08:28PM (#23658495)
Crimes often leave evidence of which much is time sensitive. Responding in a timely manner to crimes are often critical to finding the perpetrators.
Re:Santa Cruz, California bans predictive policing in U.S. f... by mike741 on Friday June 26, 2020 @09:25PM (#23658776)
how often?
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Re:Santa Cruz, California bans predictive policing in U.S. f... by nitrogen on Friday June 26, 2020 @07:58PM (#23658330)
We're all on the same side here. We all want more opportunity and more safety for everyone, especially those who have the least of either. Talking past one another and not reading the best intentions behind each comment hinders that shared goal.
Re:Santa Cruz, California bans predictive policing in U.S. f... by chaostheory on Friday June 26, 2020 @06:07PM (#23657614)
This could be one of the reasons why

https://www.npr.org/2018/12/12/675359781/americas-growing-co...

https://www.thedenverchannel.com/news/national-politics/the-...

It will only get worse.

I wonder if AI and robotics will need to be used in the future assuming that the police shortage trend continues or gets even worse?

Re:Santa Cruz, California bans predictive policing in U.S. f... by Misdicorl on Friday June 26, 2020 @07:04PM (#23658039)
Or we could address the root problem behind the vast majority of crime; systemic poverty.
Re:Santa Cruz, California bans predictive policing in U.S. f... by tick_tock_tick on Friday June 26, 2020 @08:11PM (#23658414)
I'm not convinced that systemic poverty is the cause. Plenty of poorer counties and non urban, but just a poor, areas in the USA don't have these high violent crime rates.
Re:Santa Cruz, California bans predictive policing in U.S. f... by genoapol on Saturday June 27, 2020 @07:47AM (#23661197)
Most of the poor countries you mention don't have an intentionally created underclass. The economic background and the tremendous intentional income/wealth inequality in the US adds a bit more complexity.

In most countries, you won't end up in jail because you make less than $X, the US penalizes being poor. The US jail population as a % of the world's total jailed population is a clear indicator.

Also its quite interesting that American whites commit crime at a higher rate than UK blacks. There is something systemic at work here.

It seems the few decades of gutting social safety nets compounded with the trend of shutting down schools to make funds available for policing and jail building created a pipeline directly to jail for the newly undereducated and poor. A pipeline with perverse incentives that helped corporations and the US government exploit almost free ($0.25/hr) domestic prison slave labor for weapons, defense, and general manufacturing.

Re:Santa Cruz, California bans predictive policing in U.S. f... by tick_tock_tick on Saturday June 27, 2020 @02:50PM (#23663784)
That's a really really weird view if everyone is equally as poor people don't murder?
Re:Santa Cruz, California bans predictive policing in U.S. f... by adamsea on Saturday June 27, 2020 @11:07PM (#23666492)
Re:Santa Cruz, California bans predictive policing in U.S. f... by Misdicorl on Friday June 26, 2020 @09:35PM (#23658825)
Poverty includes more than just household income. In particular, many of the comparative areas you mention provide: safe schools, libraries, extended family resources. Population density is also a huge driver of violent crime rates.

Of course poverty isn't the only factor. But it's a hugely important one.

Re:Santa Cruz, California bans predictive policing in U.S. f... by MuffinFlavored on Saturday June 27, 2020 @03:45AM (#23660189)
higher household income would mean the households are worth more

aka more property taxes

aka more money for education and police to keep everybody safe

Re:Santa Cruz, California bans predictive policing in U.S. f... by Misdicorl on Saturday June 27, 2020 @08:28AM (#23661400)
The point is that people construct these comparison classes which are poor but not impoverished. And then draw all sorts of faulty conclusions
Re:Santa Cruz, California bans predictive policing in U.S. f... by MuffinFlavored on Saturday June 27, 2020 @03:43AM (#23660181)
how many children raised in poor neighborhoods by young single poor mothers should have been aborted?