Re:California sets Covid-19 daily record, Bay Area cumulativ...
by DiogenesKynikos on Thursday June 25, 2020 @07:25AM
(#23639355)
> Umm, I think you mean the world.
Not most of Europe and East Asia, and a smattering of countries that have had effective responses. They have suppressed the epidemic to the point where they can reopen most things. They have to be vigilant and monitor the R value, but as long as it hovers around 1, they're okay. The levels of their epidemics are also low enough that they can do effective contact tracing (see, for example, what happened in Beijing recently).
In the US, by contrast, there are tens of thousands of new cases every day. Contact tracing is impossible at that point, and parts of the US will probably have to go into lockdown again, unless the US is willing to accept hundreds of thousands of additional deaths. A sharp lockdown lasting about 6 weeks would have put the US in a much better position.
> the nordics can't decide what do do with Sweden.
Because Sweden refused to lock down. This is the fault of Swedish politics, not the other Nordic countries that took effective action to suppress the virus.
> I think Sweden had fewer cases per capita at the peak than the UK, despite avoiding a formal lockdown
The UK has had a particularly bad epidemic because early on, the government pursued a "herd immunity" strategy. They waited far too long before locking down.
Not most of Europe and East Asia, and a smattering of countries that have had effective responses. They have suppressed the epidemic to the point where they can reopen most things. They have to be vigilant and monitor the R value, but as long as it hovers around 1, they're okay. The levels of their epidemics are also low enough that they can do effective contact tracing (see, for example, what happened in Beijing recently).
In the US, by contrast, there are tens of thousands of new cases every day. Contact tracing is impossible at that point, and parts of the US will probably have to go into lockdown again, unless the US is willing to accept hundreds of thousands of additional deaths. A sharp lockdown lasting about 6 weeks would have put the US in a much better position.
> the nordics can't decide what do do with Sweden.
Because Sweden refused to lock down. This is the fault of Swedish politics, not the other Nordic countries that took effective action to suppress the virus.
> I think Sweden had fewer cases per capita at the peak than the UK, despite avoiding a formal lockdown
The UK has had a particularly bad epidemic because early on, the government pursued a "herd immunity" strategy. They waited far too long before locking down.