Re:Forecast, don't guesstimate your software projects
by hrktb on Sunday June 14, 2020 @05:29AM
(#23516259)
> people are not asking to predict for situations with significant changes
That’s for coming up changes. Your predictions will also be of poor quality after a significant change as you lose the link with historical data.
In the end there might be only a small window between two changes where they are worth anything.
To be clear I am not saying you shouldn’t make prediction anyway, just that the effort to come with “a system” is not worth it in a lot of situation.
For context, tech industry has one of the highest turnover, a team losing/gaining a member is not some rare event. A new boss coming in to change process or teams isn’t either.
That’s for coming up changes. Your predictions will also be of poor quality after a significant change as you lose the link with historical data.
In the end there might be only a small window between two changes where they are worth anything.
To be clear I am not saying you shouldn’t make prediction anyway, just that the effort to come with “a system” is not worth it in a lot of situation.
For context, tech industry has one of the highest turnover, a team losing/gaining a member is not some rare event. A new boss coming in to change process or teams isn’t either.
[0] https://business.linkedin.com/talent-solutions/blog/trends-a...