Re:How dice changed over 2k years to be more fair (2018)
by throw0101a on Thursday June 11, 2020 @06:57AM
(#23487458)
> I agree, and in fact most people in our times don't understand the odds either.
For example people not understanding that Trump's chances of getting elected were actually pretty good in 2016. FiveThirtyEight consistently showed that he had at roughly 25% chance (i.e. 1-in-4):
I don't know about other people, but I wouldn't want to play Russian roulette with those odds. It should also be noted that Clinton did win the popular vote, it's just that ~70K of the votes were in the "wrong places" so Trump won the electoral college:
For example people not understanding that Trump's chances of getting elected were actually pretty good in 2016. FiveThirtyEight consistently showed that he had at roughly 25% chance (i.e. 1-in-4):
* https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
I don't know about other people, but I wouldn't want to play Russian roulette with those odds. It should also be noted that Clinton did win the popular vote, it's just that ~70K of the votes were in the "wrong places" so Trump won the electoral college:
* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_ele...