However they note that the official state death count (15740 deaths) «only indicates deaths that happened in a hospital or a nursing home, and does not include coronavirus-related deaths that occurred in a home, which means the official death count is likely higher than that official number»
15740 deaths ÷ 2700000 infected = 0.58% (they round to 0.5%)
However they note that the official state death count (15740 deaths) «only indicates deaths that happened in a hospital or a nursing home, and does not include coronavirus-related deaths that occurred in a home, which means the official death count is likely higher than that official number»
The true number of deaths, including home deaths, is 20759 as of the date of Cuomo's press briefing, April 24 (source: https://raw.githubusercontent.com/nytimes/covid-19-data/mast...)
Furthermore, all the figures quoted by Cuomo were provisional, mid-study. The serosurvey actually completed on April 28 and was published here: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.25.20113050v... The final figures as of this date were:
22777 deaths ÷ (19450000 state population × 14.0% infected) = IFR of 0.84%
It is important to take deaths as of April 28 in order to minimize right censoring.
«Both the UK and NY State had a policy of sending recovering patients to nursing home»
Spain and Brazil did not do this and still exhibit an IFR of 1% add per the serosurveys I referenced.