Re:Anders Tegnell defends Sweden's virus approach
by kalleboo on Wednesday June 03, 2020 @11:25PM
(#23412031)
Epidemiologists have been saying that per-capita comparisons don't make sense, since if you start with 10 cases, and have an Rt of 2, you get 20 cases, no matter if your population is 1 or 100 million.
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Re:Anders Tegnell defends Sweden's virus approach
by jcims on Thursday June 04, 2020 @02:31AM
(#23413266)
At 90 days some their first 100 cases, Sweden has half the cases of China. Does that mean they have been twice as effective at fighting the disease? Half as impacted?
Re:Anders Tegnell defends Sweden's virus approach
by atemerev on Thursday June 04, 2020 @08:40AM
(#23415800)
Chinese statistics is unreliable. It makes sense to compare Western countries, but not Western countries to China.
Re:Anders Tegnell defends Sweden's virus approach
by jcims on Thursday June 04, 2020 @09:07AM
(#23416066)
OK Sweden has fewer confirmed cases (40k) than most if not all of Western Europe.
Re:Anders Tegnell defends Sweden's virus approach
by thomasz on Thursday June 04, 2020 @12:21PM
(#23418568)
Sweden doesn't test nearly as much as other countries in Western Europes. Comparing deaths is already complicated, comparing "confirmed cases" is completely useless.
Re:Anders Tegnell defends Sweden's virus approach
by atemerev on Thursday June 04, 2020 @11:54AM
(#23418254)
Compared to population?
Re:Anders Tegnell defends Sweden's virus approach
by kgwgk on Thursday June 04, 2020 @02:46AM
(#23413379)
And if you start with X cases, and have and Rt of 2, you get 2X cases, no matter if X is 10 or 1000.
Re:Anders Tegnell defends Sweden's virus approach
by ptx on Thursday June 04, 2020 @04:01AM
(#23413922)
Perhaps it didn't make sense in the beginning, when outbreaks are sparse, but now that it's spread everywhere and it's a matter of suppressing it, that changes things, doesn't it?
If you start with 10 cases and immediately take action like Taiwan, you have 7 dead. If you start with 10 cases and do nothing like Sweden, you have 4500 dead.