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Re:De-Escalation Keeps Protesters and Police Safer by mensetmanusman on Tuesday June 02, 2020 @03:50PM (#23395535)
I see, applying it across the population age distribution, yes.

This virus is dangerous to the elderly, but not nearly as relatively dangerous as the flu is to the young:

https://freopp.org/estimating-the-risk-of-death-from-covid-1...

If the young had political power, the response would be a lot different, but because the wealth/power lie with the elderly, the current response is predictable. Fascinating times

Re:De-Escalation Keeps Protesters and Police Safer by matwood on Wednesday June 03, 2020 @07:26AM (#23402190)
Not to go off on a tangent, but that article looks at deaths per capita and then ignores the R0. The reason the COVID deaths per capita are as low as they are (and still bad) is because of lockdowns. Pointing to what happened with lockdown mitigations in place to claim that a lockdown isn't needed is misleading at best.

The article also uses 60k flu deaths as the average baseline which is incorrect. The 60k number was a particularly bad flu season. Last season flu deaths were ~34k [1]. This season could be much lower because of the lockdowns.

Comparing COVID to the flu is hard, and really should have never been done. Without taking into account the respective IFRs, CFRs, R0, etc... any comparison is going to be severely lacking. It's also hard to get accurate numbers while in the middle of the pandemic. I hope as things open up that COVID just becomes a memory. Unfortunately, that doesn't look like the case so far.

[1] https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/2018-2019.html I'm not really sure how the author got to a 60k average unless 2007-2009 was really bad. The years on the CDC site only have 1 season greater than 60k. Errors like this do bring all of the statistics into question.

Re:De-Escalation Keeps Protesters and Police Safer by snickell on Wednesday June 03, 2020 @06:33AM (#23401910)
Exactly.