Nobody can honestly say this. Trading is about risk transfer. And risks sometimes come home to roost, which means portfolios can always lose money.
That said, broadly, yes. If something seems too complicated, don't buy it.
> Almost every ETF other than a vanilla bond/stock ETF is unadulterated toxic waste that has oozed out from the sewers of finance and will wipe out your capital
This is true, but not (just) because banks are venal. These products are designed for professional traders. There is hedging value, to certain corporates, for having a short-dated commodities future exchange traded product (ETP) leveraged at a benchmark rate. Particularly if that rate floats with the corporate's cost of capital.
> good ole fashioned bond/stock ETFs - if you cannot redeem/create it then don't touch it
Individual investors can never redeem or create ETF units. That's restricted to authorized participants (APs).
APs can create and destroy units of most leveraged ETFs. They can't do that for exchange-traded notes (ETNs), which is where most of the structured stuff lives.
Professional traders don't trade leveraged ETFs (ETNs) because they know the friction and carry built into them. A professional trader who wants to make a leveraged bet on S&P will just use e-mini futures.
You missed the point about create/redeem. When I create in SPY I can submit a basket+cash component equivalent to 50,000 shares and get back 50,000 SPY. For redeem, I can submit SPY and get back the equivalent basket and cash component.
ProShares Ultra QQQ (3x NASDAQ) had $5.4B in the trust as per Yahoo finance. The holdings [1] had $13.7B in swaps, $0.5B in treasuries and $2B in stock. How exactly would I create/redeem this basket in kind?
[1] https://www.proshares.com/funds/tqqq_daily_holdings.html
No, you can't. An authorized participant can.
All ETFs, by definition, involve creation and redemption mechanisms. It's what separates them from other ETPs.
> How exactly would I create/redeem this basket in kind?
You can't.
According to the prospectus [1], "in exchange for the deposit or delivery of a basket of assets (securities and/or cash)". Going into deeper mechanics [2], creation and redemption involve the AP entering into offsetting swaps with the ETP.
[1] https://www.proshares.com/media/prospectus/statutory_prospec...
[2] https://www.proshares.com/media/prospectus/statement_of_addi...
>You can't.
Thank You.
As to your earlier point about AP, the bar is pretty low in SPY because I used to work at desk that was one ;)
I agree that leveraged ETFs can be dangerous if used incorrectly (look up volatility decay), but they aren't "trash" and they certainly aren't anywhere near as dangerous as even unleveraged ETNs. Here's a resource about the difference between those two, by the way [2]. In short, ETF shares represent a direct stake in the underlying assets, similar to owning equity in a house or business. ETN shares are more like little IOUs along the lines of bonds and loans. They have their place, but they're difficult to use safely, especially when leverage is involved.
[1] https://www.proshares.com/resources/creation_and_redemption_...
[2] https://www.investopedia.com/financial-edge/0213/etf-or-etn-...
SOMEbody made a multigenerational fortune off of that price discrepancy. The SEC was briefly investigating that episode, but the investigation went away after a while.
As a little guy, you can make a brilliant play by correctly predicting the future and still get totally screwed.
Leveraged ETFs are usually composed of debt plus equity, and they can certainly be created and redeemed.
You personally cannot create or redeem any ETF, because the quantities involved are huge and you need to be what's called an "authorized participant".
A vanilla bond or stock ETF is an extremely useful (and beautiful) financial instrument that has democratized investing similar to its older cousin the mutual fund. Almost every ETF other than a vanilla bond/stock ETF is unadulterated toxic waste that has oozed out from the sewers of finance and will wipe out your capital.
A simple yardstick to demarcate toxic waste for the good ole fashioned bond/stock ETFs - if you cannot redeem/create it then don't touch it. Leveraged ETFs (and commodity ETFs) cannot be redeemed/created.
Guide to ETF redemption/creation - https://www.etf.com/etf-education-center/etf-basics/what-is-...