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Re:SpaceX NASA returning human spaceflight to United States ... by rurban on Wednesday May 27, 2020 @03:12PM (#23328378)
Why should it be desastrous? I hope you do know the odds.

The COVID-19 fatality odd is 0.3%, the Dragon-lost odd probably much higher, maybe at around 5%. The Falcon 9 has over 80 starts now, but this is only the 3nd Dragon 2 start, and one of it failed.

Re:SpaceX NASA returning human spaceflight to United States ... by relham on Friday May 29, 2020 @12:26PM (#23352031)
I think the astronauts health makes them much less likely to die from Corona than 0.3% but exposing the current crew of the IIS does not sound like a good idea either.

Fatality rate is one thing, but being in a small space can cause high concentrations of virus and any health complication in space is a big deal.

A catastrophic failure is definitely a risk, but not sure how its magnitude should diminish our caution when it comes to bringing the virus to the space station (by your calc, it lowers the risk only by 5%).