London may have gone into a Covid-accelerated decline

Re:London may have gone into a Covid-accelerated decline by glofish on Saturday May 23, 2020 @06:25PM (#23287111)

doesn't this cut both ways though?

you could be severely sick with some other disease then get COVID19 in addition, what killed you?

I think 10 years from now we will look back at this time as the time where everything was counted as COVID19

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Re:London may have gone into a Covid-accelerated decline by SpicyLemonZest on Saturday May 23, 2020 @06:32PM (#23287174)

It does - there are surely some number of deaths that would be recorded as flu deaths if doctors considered that a reasonable thing to do. I don't think any conclusions in any direction can be drawn from the comparison.

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Re:London may have gone into a Covid-accelerated decline by pgwhalen on Saturday May 23, 2020 @07:30PM (#23287590)

Despite the your downvoters, there is good evidence to suggest we are already doing that in the US. According to the CDC, for the week ending in 5/9, there were more COVID19 deaths than there were "excess" deaths.

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/COVID19/index.htm

These data are subject to being modified after the fact.

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Re:London may have gone into a Covid-accelerated decline by aianus on Saturday May 23, 2020 @08:28PM (#23287968)

> there were more COVID19 deaths than there were "excess" deaths

This still makes sense if the lockdown has lowered other causes of death like car crashes.

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Re:London may have gone into a Covid-accelerated decline by pgwhalen on Monday May 25, 2020 @02:16PM (#23303365)

Fair point. Though the excess seems to already eclipse car crash deaths in their entirety, and I'm not sure if other major causes of accidental deaths (e.g. drug overdoses) would really be expected to go down during a lockdown.

https://www.iii.org/fact-statistic/facts-statistics-mortalit...

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