- Japanese people have no hangups about masks and social distancing
- There aren’t quite as many large, touchy feely inter-generational family gatherings as in Italy
- Even if people aren’t strictly following stay-at-home orders, they might have confidence that with the common wearing of masks and social distancing, they’ll probably be fine, especially in outdoor environments. You know this more than me, but Japanese people tend to have higher attention to detail. They can more effortlessly be aware of situations where they may get infected, and they won’t just say “oh well I’ll take the risk,” they’ll put in the little amount of effort to mitigate getting infected.
We will only know the true numbers with the excess mortality numbers. But given the circumstances it will still be a 0.2% IFR country according to my estimations. Not worrying at all.
People that got sick weren't allowed to take the test unless they fulfilled some checklist someone came up with. People with pneumonia symptoms got turned away at hospital after hospital and instead asked to rest at home which also had an effect on the low number of confirmed cases.
Some articles of people that got confirmed coronavirus but instead of getting quarantined, asked to please not work and self isolate (<- there are also reports of people that were sick for weeks but just continued working with a mask until they were no longer able to). Same for charter flights and people from the cruise. Some people just denied getting tested, so they went home directly.
I have no idea how Japan got away with this but it's true that we are much better off than other countries. The official numbers don't reflect reality a single bit, but I can't argue about the low number of fatalities.