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Re:Organ transplants down as stay-at-home rules reduce fatal... by nostrademons on Thursday May 21, 2020 @12:03PM (#23260116)
We're not sure about that conclusion either. One other possibility is that the population currently driving on the roads right now is more prone to accidents than the population currently staying home, and so fatality rates per mile driven have gone up. Perhaps they have older cars without the latest safety features, or their cars have prior accident damage that wasn't fixed, or they skew younger with less driving experience, or they're rushing to get to their jobs, or people are out for joyrides. In that case, fatality rates among drivers staying home have dropped (to zero) and fatality rates among other drivers have probably dropped (less to collide with), but because of Simpson's Paradox overall fatality rates have gone up.

You can't know which is a better explanation unless you have data with more granularity than is typically provided by the press.

Re:Organ transplants down as stay-at-home rules reduce fatal... by leetcrew on Thursday May 21, 2020 @01:39PM (#23261783)
or as another poster suggested, people might be driving more accident prone routes right now. my commute to work is a 20 mile point-to-point drive down an interstate. aside from merging, there's not much that can go wrong. a trip to the nearest grocery store is a one mile drive through a dense area of the city with many pedestrians and awkward intersections. the per mile risk of the grocery run is much higher.
Re:Organ transplants down as stay-at-home rules reduce fatal... by daveFNbuck on Thursday May 21, 2020 @12:09PM (#23260216)
My point is that none of the data we have support the conclusion that the roads are safer.
Re:Organ transplants down as stay-at-home rules reduce fatal... by anewdirection on Friday May 22, 2020 @02:34PM (#23275386)
Except for the fact; less people are dying on them.