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Re:SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence in healthy blood donors during ... by lbeltrame on Thursday May 21, 2020 @05:56AM (#23256580)
Why not the fact that perhaps the virus found its way in more vulnerable populations, such as hospitals and nursing care homes (44% of the current deaths)?

If that happened, the population would be very largely skewed towards the most vulnerable (you usually don't go to ER or a hospital if you're healthy) and that would explain the uptick in deaths.

There's no other idea I can offer to explain why a disease with an estimated IFR between 0.5 and 0.9% would cause an order of magnitude more deaths.

Re:SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence in healthy blood donors during ... by taeric on Thursday May 21, 2020 @09:41AM (#23258187)
For that 44% number, what data set are you using?

I have been idly tracking the data here in WA. 90% of the deaths have been in 60+ years of age. Just ~30% percent of the cases. In that age range, the CFR is staggeringly high. I don't know the data for the numbers from nursing homes.

Re:SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence in healthy blood donors during ... by lbeltrame on Thursday May 21, 2020 @11:00AM (#23259148)
Sorry, forgot to mention it. These are the numbers from Italy's Istituto Superiore di Sanità.
Re:SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence in healthy blood donors during ... by taeric on Thursday May 21, 2020 @11:27AM (#23259550)
No worries. Just curious if there was a global source for that.

From looking at the numbers, I can't help but think we really failed protecting the elder population.