Re:Florida scientist fired for refusing to manipulate Covid-...
by rovolo on Tuesday May 19, 2020 @03:46PM
(#23239290)
Restating the figures isn't necessarily bad. The issue with mortality revisions is that they're always revised upward; whereas the economic revisions can go either way.
Using date-of-death introduces a consistent bias where recent deaths are undercounted compared to earlier deaths. People care about whether deaths are currently slowing or increasing. Date-of-report may be inaccurate, but it doesn't bias the trajectory of deaths consistently in either direction.
Using date-of-death introduces a consistent bias where recent deaths are undercounted compared to earlier deaths. People care about whether deaths are currently slowing or increasing. Date-of-report may be inaccurate, but it doesn't bias the trajectory of deaths consistently in either direction.