Deaths due to flu during the 2018-2019 flu season: 34,157
Deaths due to flu during the 2017-2018 flu season: 61,000
So with a particularly deadly flu season in 2017-2018, COVID-19 has already killed nearly as many people as 2 flu seasons combined.
There are also a lot of deaths that are likely caused by COVID-19 but haven't been attributed properly, for any number of reasons including not wanting to waste tests on people who are already dead. You can find a nice graphic here that expresses this phenomenon nicely using seasonal averages: https://www.washingtonpost.com/investigations/2020/04/27/cov...
The easiest way would be to hire inspectors to go around and inspect places during business hours and close them down if they're not in compliance.
That or a federal jobs program of "safety enforcer" paid for by the fed and placed in every business of X size or whatever. The former seems more likely.
WHO: (https://www.who.int/news-room/fact-sheets/detail/influenza-(...) Worldwide, flu causes 290,000 to 650,000 respiratory deaths. Worldometer reports 316,000 COVID19 deaths. Since January. And I'm going to go out on a limb and suggest that is off on the low side. But it's still early.
Not quite. The first death in the US was Feb 29. On March 31, it was only 5151.
So ~91k deaths over 2.5 months, or ~86k deaths over 1.5 months. (...I'd probably go with the first just to encompass infection time)
Many doctors think there's actually an undercount as they discover ways in which the disease can present differently than severe respiratory distress, or look at guidelines that may have led to incorrectly ruling out a case.
Of course, be sure to save some of that skepticism for ways in which a fee-for-service medical system can bend treatment large and small when this is all over.
California and Washington are both running massive deficits due to their harsh quarantine measures and will literally be out of money in a few months. Many cities are already running out of money.
Seattle, San Francisco, LA, NYC... all are heading towards bankruptcy or massive layoffs.
Many cops and teachers are about to be laid off. Prisons will be releasing prisoners to make budgets meet.
And here people are talking about a whole new squad of police that do nothing but enforce distancing and mask-wearing. With what money?
https://www.usmayors.org/2020/04/14/cities-report-pandemic-c...
https://www.sfchronicle.com/bayarea/article/Bay-Area-cities-...
https://www.dailybreeze.com/2020/05/12/coronavirus-la-cities...
This is like the old line about education ("if you think it's expensive, try ignorance").
There isn't any such thing as "ending lockdown" without certain cooperative measures. Either we'll take the necessary collective steps to control spread and coordinate recovery behavior... or we won't, and we'll have both the uncontrolled spread and the second order uncoordinated responses including large portions of people sitting out economic participation in order to manage personal risk.
Maybe it'll take some kind of civil enforcement to do this. Maybe most people will cooperate.
Maybe the federal government will lend local governments money to help. Or it won't, or it will, but will come with stipulations designed to weaken the ability of local institutions to act counter to partisan ends of those in control of the Senate and executive.
But anyone on team "end lockdown" should hope there is cooperation, and enough enforcement to encourage it at the margins. And if funding is a problem, then private and public entities alike at least in theory have some incentive to come up with a way to solve the problems that need to be solved to support higher levels of activity.
How should those things be enforced in your opinion?