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A comment on Smashing Eggs, Dumping Milk: Farmers Waste More Food Than Ever. Parent comment

Re:Smashing Eggs, Dumping Milk: Farmers Waste More Food Than... by jdminhbg on Monday May 18, 2020 @02:01PM (#23226016)
The 579/day estimate is the low end of the 90% confidence interval. You can use the 7-day rolling average the NYT provides to eliminate the swings from reporting variance. Of course, the apocalypse will always be two weeks away.
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Re:Smashing Eggs, Dumping Milk: Farmers Waste More Food Than... by Spellman on Monday May 18, 2020 @03:50PM (#23227511)
90% confidence means anything within that range would validate their model. And even if their model was perfect, 10% chance the real value would fall outside that range. So as long as the real number (which we will will have in 2 weeks once the rolling average and final tallies are in) then, well, they're still right.
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Re:Smashing Eggs, Dumping Milk: Farmers Waste More Food Than... by travisporter on Monday May 18, 2020 @02:29PM (#23226453)
Rolling averages introduce a lag.
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