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A comment on A 125-year-old delivery network that feeds Mumbai. Parent comment
Case 1 ------ 10 years x 280 deliveries per year x 2 deliveries per day (pick up + drop) = 5600 deliveries.
Number of mistakes = 0
That puts the error rate at < 1/5600 (or approximately 0.0002).
Case 2 ------ 4 years x 280 deliveries per year x 2 deliveries per day (pick up + drop) = 2240
That puts the error rate at < 1/2240 (or approximately 0.0004).
Both cases together -------------------
Error rate < 0.00012
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Case 1 ------ 10 years x 280 deliveries per year x 2 deliveries per day (pick up + drop) = 5600 deliveries.
Number of mistakes = 0
That puts the error rate at < 1/5600 (or approximately 0.0002).
Case 2 ------ 4 years x 280 deliveries per year x 2 deliveries per day (pick up + drop) = 2240
Number of mistakes = 0
That puts the error rate at < 1/2240 (or approximately 0.0004).
Both cases together -------------------
Error rate < 0.00012