CFIUS actions have been reported in the tech news for the last 12 months, in multiple sectors.
Europe, Korea, Japan, India and Australia are planning to recede from China's dependence on manufacturing.
This is an amazing time to be alive, I encourage people to look into manufacturing disciplines. As Elon put it (agree or disagree with him, but he is right about this) - "Someone's gotta build stuff. If you're not doing it, someone else is." Physical things don't just pop out of thin air. Every single thing except your body and natural substances are manmade. Someone decided how its gonna be built and how it will come into existence.
I believe that we need to reframe the debate around manufacturing from one about jobs to one about national security.
This mentally frees us to fully invest in manufacturing automation, which will neutralize any labor cost advantages China and other countries may have.
American's dream for a open and democratic China is long dead.
There already is an open and democratic China across the Taiwan straight. And the USA has a looong history of rather ambivalent relationship with it, starting from the Chinese civil war (to the surprise of many, US has sided with Mao for quite a number of times)
For long, US policy was to purposefully keep the Republic of China weak, vulnerable, and dependent.
Were the US even 1% genuine in their commitment to seeing democratic China, they would not be consistently setting up Taiwan to be undermined politically.
Doesn't look like US politicians today are willing to throw Eastern Europe under the bus to flip Russia against the PRC like they threw Taiwan under the bus though.
The US manufacturing sector is 11.6% of GDP, so 2.33 trillion dollars PPP. In China, it accounts for 40% of the GDP, so more or less 10 trillion dollars of manufacturing output PPP (!). This is a manifold advantage.
The reason why this is to be done is because if you wanted to build say, a tank in the US vs China or Russia, you would need many more dollars for the exact same tank. So measuring manufacturing output must be done PPP.
China also doesn't require any naval transport from oil shortage. Indeed, it very conveniently has a major oil exporter to it's north. So unless you would wage war on the Russian and Chinese mainland, you have no hope of completely starving China of oil. You might reduce the amount of oil they have, but they have enough reserves to last until a tripling of Sino-Russian pipelines.
This is now precisely what is changing.
I don't think so. In 10 years, there will be no Trump in the office, and I doubt than even US based companies are ready to stake so much money on US government money continuing to come in 10 years term.
> Taiwan needs Americas protection and no other country
Their biggest defence against China is their mutual economic annihilation, along with most of world's light industry.
Remember, it was USA who made them loose their UN seat, and sabotaged their nuclear weapons program to keep them dependent, and let China into the WTO. Since at least Jiang Jingguo, Taiwan has been rather ambivalent with USA, and are wary of being set up
Trump is not the first to raise the point on this exact matter, in fact that was going back and forth at least since Bush Jr as I know.
Lastly, the biggest, and most obvious argument about your sentiment is that if American political establishment (with Trump, or without him) were truly serious about committing to confrontation with China, they should've started with barring US companies making business with Chinese multinationals, or at least obvious state companies.
Without seeing that first, you can be assured that US will not run into collision with China, or the politically connected big money in US would be first to run.