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Re:Bitcoin Halving Just Occured by vertex-four on Monday May 11, 2020 @04:33PM (#23146695)
That's literally backwards to how this works though. Just because you fire up a bunch of miners doesn't make Bitcoin's value jump - it's the opposite, Bitcoin's value jumping makes it cost-effective to run additional miners.
Re:Bitcoin Halving Just Occured by jkhdigital on Monday May 11, 2020 @08:16PM (#23149092)
Its value is circular. Bitcoin miners provide social proof that someone, somewhere, is willing to burn $X to acquire a Bitcoin. That how intrinsically worthless items gain monetary value—social proof.
Re:Bitcoin Halving Just Occured by nannal on Monday May 11, 2020 @05:32PM (#23147347)
Firing up additional mining would split the rewards between more people causing fewer rewards per participant.

Miners engaged in mining before I arrived would have the same costs they had before, but now with fewer BTC to cover them, this would force them to sell at a higher price or operate at a loss until they drown the competition.

There are two ways to look at it.

Re:Bitcoin Halving Just Occured by legolas2412 on Monday May 11, 2020 @06:59PM (#23148229)
Forced to sell at a higher price?

My dreams of being a millionaire are forcing me to sell this orange for a million dollars. Ergo, oranges will now retail for a million dollars.

Re:Bitcoin Halving Just Occured by nannal on Tuesday May 12, 2020 @02:36AM (#23151110)
That's a terrible analogy. Orange supply could be infinite should we maximize orange production, this is not how Bitcoin works.

If there were only 12 oranges produced on all the trees in the world every hour & it cost $500 an hour to operate your orange farm. You therefore have to sell your oranges for at least $42 to cover costs and make a small income

However now there are only 6 oranges produced every hour (not 12), what can you do to maintain profitability?

Re:Bitcoin Halving Just Occured by legolas2412 on Tuesday May 12, 2020 @06:11AM (#23152365)
And if people don't value your oranges that much, you close shop. It is not going to make the people suddenly value your oranges more.
Re:Bitcoin Halving Just Occured by jkhdigital on Monday May 11, 2020 @08:19PM (#23149126)
Except that oranges are consumption goods and can be produced in whatever quantity is demanded by expanding production.

Bitcoin production is perfectly inelastic, and Bitcoin itself has no consumption value. You need a different analogy.

Re:Bitcoin Halving Just Occured by Nursie on Monday May 11, 2020 @06:41PM (#23147997)
"Force them to sell at a higher price" ... so they decide the market?

Nope.

Miners have costs to cover, mining unprofitably and holding makes no sense whatsoever (you're literally better off turning off your rig, buying on the market and holding at that point)

Re:Bitcoin Halving Just Occured by nannal on Tuesday May 12, 2020 @02:30AM (#23151081)
Turning off your rigs makes them an unprofitable investment you almost certainly are paying interest on if you're running a large operation.
Re:Bitcoin Halving Just Occured by Nursie on Tuesday May 12, 2020 @04:40AM (#23151799)
Turning them on to acquire bitcoins at a higher cost to yourself than the market price just doesn't make sense, investment or not, it won't help you pay down your loan.

You're better off buying them from others at that point.

Re:Bitcoin Halving Just Occured by cortesoft on Monday May 11, 2020 @05:36PM (#23147382)
I wasn't trying to make a causal argument... just saying that the price to mine and the price of the coins will meet an equilibrium.