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Re:Why is the stock market rallying when the economy is so bad? by aeturnum on Sunday May 10, 2020 @07:19PM (#23137221)
I mean, if 0.1% of your savings is in the market, you're "participating" in some sense, but not with any real impact. My sense is that, for the great majority of people in the United States, the stock market's value doubling would mean little for their financial health. Having a retirement fund that goes from $10,000 to $20,000 (or even $100,000 to $200,000) has a relatively small impact on the prospect of retiring [1].

[1] Depends on circumstance, but people are generally supposed to have at least $1,000,000 in savings by 67. https://www.nerdwallet.com/investing/retirement-calculator

Re:Why is the stock market rallying when the economy is so bad? by WalterBright on Sunday May 10, 2020 @08:47PM (#23137768)
> if 0.1% of your savings is in the market

That means you chose not to participate in the market, not that you were prevented. In which case I can't accept grousing about not getting the gains from investing in the market.

> retirement-calculator

Use it. It'll show how much you need to invest monthly to retire a millionaire. Your money will do a lot better than double.

Re:Why is the stock market rallying when the economy is so bad? by callalex on Monday May 11, 2020 @01:44AM (#23139217)
>That means you _chose_ not to participate in the market

You can’t invest money you don’t have.

Re:Why is the stock market rallying when the economy is so bad? by WalterBright on Monday May 11, 2020 @05:05AM (#23140202)
May I suggest examining "if 0.1% of your savings is in the market" again? Like what happened with the other 99.9% of your savings?
Re:Why is the stock market rallying when the economy is so bad? by aeturnum on Monday May 11, 2020 @12:55PM (#23144260)
Asking about the other 99.9% is a good point! Mostly I was pointing out how meaningless the idea of "participating" is for evaluating the material impact of the market on an individuals' financial wellbeing.

We can go back and forth about how theoretical people could invest theoretical savings, but unless you have another source, it seems like the reality we live in is one where 90% of the country share 16% of the stock market. Whether that 90% have low savings (all of which are in the market) or better savings (little of which is in the market) - either way their financial health doesn't seem very tied to the market.

Re:Why is the stock market rallying when the economy is so bad? by WalterBright on Monday May 11, 2020 @03:44PM (#23146141)
The people who do invest in the market are providing the money that drives jobs and economic growth.

You can't separate the two.

Re:Why is the stock market rallying when the economy is so bad? by aeturnum on Monday May 11, 2020 @04:38PM (#23146754)
Why can't you?

The vast majority of businesses are privately held[1]. Those businesses hire most of the people and buy most of the goods. Even for companies that are listed on the markets, the majority of their financial assets come from doing business.

It's true that companies raise money on the public markets to expand and thus hire more people, but the idea that most economic activity happens there is false.

[1] https://www.forbes.com/sites/sageworks/2012/10/01/private-co...

Re:Why is the stock market rallying when the economy is so bad? by WalterBright on Tuesday May 12, 2020 @01:06AM (#23150749)
Big business doesn't work without a stock market, and big business is the engine that drives an economy.

Small businesses are the future big businesses.

Both are needed for an efficient, productive economy.

Various times countries have tried to prevent big business from operating, and always gave it up after a while.

Re:Why is the stock market rallying when the economy is so bad? by justin66 on Monday May 11, 2020 @09:58AM (#23142198)
Without sperging out about the specific percentage: a situation where people have a tiny amount saved for retirement, and almost all their net worth in a house and car, is actually quite common.
Re:Why is the stock market rallying when the economy is so bad? by WalterBright on Monday May 11, 2020 @03:43PM (#23146125)
Spending on a car is not an investment. It's no joke that a new car loses 30% of its value when you drive it off the lot. Essentially all cars lose value constantly, and that's not even counting the finance costs.
Re:Why is the stock market rallying when the economy is so bad? by justin66 on Monday May 11, 2020 @04:01PM (#23146328)
I couldn't agree more. Just trying to explain the situation of someone's pension accounting for such a small portion of their net worth. It's sadly common.
Re:Why is the stock market rallying when the economy is so bad? by chii on Monday May 11, 2020 @01:58AM (#23139266)
> you're "participating" in some sense, but not with any real impact

just like voting has no real "impact" right?

Participating has an impact. The impact may not be as big as you'd want, but it's there. and it's better than not participating.

Re:Why is the stock market rallying when the economy is so bad? by aeturnum on Monday May 11, 2020 @01:03PM (#23144351)
I agree that participating is always better than not, but I think you're making an inappropriate comparison. The question I was trying to talk about is the connection of the market to the wealth of most americans. I'm saying that it's fully possible for everyone to "participate" in the market without significantly benefiting from it (though, as you say, it's better than nothing). If the market were to double in value, mostly wealthy people would get wealthier and, I think, few middle and working class people would have their lives changed significantly.

The reason I don't think the voting metaphor holds up is that everyone who's elected does so by "getting" the most votes. Obviously there are forces at work here (turnout, voter suppression, get out the vote efforts, etc), but there's no official alternative way to be elected. The voting comparison would make sense if the stock market was the only possible way to gain money - in which case I would agree! But it's not. There are lots of other ways we can ensure people gain wealth.