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A comment on U.S. field hospitals stand down, most without treating any Covid-19 patients. Parent comment

Re:U.S. field hospitals stand down, most without treating an... by cozzyd on Friday May 08, 2020 @07:18PM (#23120587)
The inferred IFR from serological prevalance and deaths in NYC is ~1%. NYC's demographics skew favorably compared to the nation, but assuming ~60% of the country would get COVID-19 if not for restrictions, 2 million is right on the money.
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Re:U.S. field hospitals stand down, most without treating an... by greedo on Friday May 08, 2020 @10:15PM (#23121610)
And this also ignores those who survive COVID-19. Roughly 5% are being hospitalized with potential long term effects. Everyone assumes that we're over the hump. The only place in the US that I would consider over the hump is NYC. Everywhere else has nowhere to go until herd immunity is reached.
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Re:U.S. field hospitals stand down, most without treating an... by pnako on Friday May 08, 2020 @08:10PM (#23120908)
Assuming 12.38 million people would die of it, 12.38 million people would die of it.

Stop assuming things.

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Re:U.S. field hospitals stand down, most without treating an... by cozzyd on Friday May 08, 2020 @08:29PM (#23121039)
It's a conservative assumption based on a low estimate of R_0 without mitigations.

It's hard to make inferences about the world without assumptions.

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Re:U.S. field hospitals stand down, most without treating an... by selectodude on Friday May 08, 2020 @09:32PM (#23121359)
You're the one trying to make OP prove a negative.
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