The article basically says when you look at a 1000 really smart 11 year olds you don't get any Nobel prize winners. Which is a pretty obvious straw man because the base rate of Nobel prize winners is 1 in a million, plus childhoold IQ doesn't perfectly correlate with adult IQ. For instance a group of children with an average IQ of 150 will have an average IQ of 130 as adults.

https://pumpkinperson.com/2015/07/26/anne-roes-study-of-extr...

Basically the average Nobel prize winners have IQ's in the 150's.

There were two future Nobel prize winners that were excluded from the group he studied because they didn't score high enough.

Who both also had very high iqs, just not quite high enough at the age of 11 to be included.