Re:New Zealand PM: No open borders for 'a long time'
by orwin on Wednesday May 06, 2020 @04:48PM
(#23096111)
>> 1. some kind of immunity (which I'd think indications are pointing toward, or I'd expect to have seen more repeat contractions by now)
Not necessarily, you can have a short-term immunization that only last a year or two. This is why the "herd immunity" might be a poor idea when we don't know much about this virus.
Anyway, i demanded a work/vacation visa to NZ for this October, i fear this won't be possible :/
Of course this assumes
1. some kind of immunity (which I'd think indications are pointing toward, or I'd expect to have seen more repeat contractions by now)
2. the response was dorked up down to the individual level (which is most decidedly not the case -- plenty of individuals (especially among highish-income) are choosing to self isolate and take precautions, and thus will not contract the virus for quite some time no matter how bad the government response was, so immunity within these groups will never form, so the government will not be able to reopen anyway)
So even in the absence of other considerations, the 2nd point above pretty much cancels out my original post.