Tourism won't even come close to recover until at least half a year after a corona vaccine gets available, countries will do everything they can to avoid the need for a second lockdown, and that includes drastic border controls. And it is not sure yet how many airlines will survive the crisis, combined with planes being perfect spreading ground for corona... and without airlines there will be no tourists.

The whole industry is fucked and it will probably kill some countries too, a lot have a massive, unhealthy dependency on tourism.