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Re:A case for ending lockdown by specialist on Thursday April 30, 2020 @12:44PM (#23032937)
Good stuff. Thanks.

Very quick response, because I will go back and read all the linked plans more thoroughly.

I want more of Center for American Progress's "Step #6: Targeted, gradual lifting of restrictions", done more concretely.

https://www.americanprogress.org/issues/healthcare/news/2020...

Apologies, because I'm way more arm wavy than pedantic, so always struggle to explain myself:

I expect:

Concrete targets with concrete numbers, to be revised as necessary. Repeating from above "Downward trend for X days."

Explicit preconditions and assumptions. Like "3 day supply surplus of PPE, with excess mfg capacity to allow ramp up." and "Sufficient testing (per capita) with X hours turnaround with < X false negatives."

Automatic actions, consequences when targets & thresholds are reached. Like "Restore social isolation if trends are flat or increasing for X days."

Initially, best guess for targets and thresholds are just fine, then iterate as we mature.

PS- CAP omitted temperature screenings, which I currently think must be part of the overall strategy.

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