A case for ending lockdown

Re:A case for ending lockdown by danieltillett on Thursday April 30, 2020 @12:48AM (#23027535)

Even when the R0 reaches 1.0 those who are infected will still infect one more person (on average). Infections continue to happen after the R0 is below 1.0.

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Re:A case for ending lockdown by ryankemper on Thursday April 30, 2020 @02:29AM (#23028000)

Thanks, that does make intuitive sense. I wonder for a virus like SARS-CoV-2 that has a high R_0 and thus requires maybe 80% of the population to be immune for full herd immunity, if that means that the overshoot would be pretty mild?

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Re:A case for ending lockdown by danieltillett on Thursday April 30, 2020 @02:51AM (#23028123)

It would mean the overshoot would likely go close to 100%, but it is complex to model as not everyone is equally likely to be infected - basically the population is not uniform. Epidemiologist do model this, but it requires relatively complex models.

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