Re:Which epidemiologist do you believe?
by aaron695 on Tuesday April 28, 2020 @04:28AM
(#23004900)
This is wrong. The concept Giesecke has not considered this is a little bizarre.
We have studied corona viruses before so we have information about mutations and immunity. We have also been watching covid-19 for these for 4 months.
So this is 100% untrue - "Currently we don't have any evidence that either assumption is true"
"for very little benefit." - We are talking millions of millions of lives, so I'm not sure why you'd say this. The lockdowns are killing millions, a lot of them are the very poor.
We need to plan for the fact it might mutate or we are not seeing immunity stick. But that's different to throwing out Giesecke approach because we don't know something with certainty.
We have studied corona viruses before so we have information about mutations and immunity. We have also been watching covid-19 for these for 4 months.
So this is 100% untrue - "Currently we don't have any evidence that either assumption is true"
"for very little benefit." - We are talking millions of millions of lives, so I'm not sure why you'd say this. The lockdowns are killing millions, a lot of them are the very poor.
We need to plan for the fact it might mutate or we are not seeing immunity stick. But that's different to throwing out Giesecke approach because we don't know something with certainty.