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Re:The San Francisco Bay Area shelter-in-place order is bein... by BurningFrog on Monday April 27, 2020 @05:26PM (#23000259)
I think this is a lot like finishing your full 7 day medication treatment, even though you feel fine on day 3.

That said, I don't know when and how the right way to wind down is, and I don't think anyone else does either. I'm glad we're doing this in a decentralized way over 50 states, so many different strategies can be tried.

I would also add that we who can WFH with full wages do well to remember millions of already less well off people have been left without income and life structure, and they're not just complaining because they're spoiled children!

Re:The San Francisco Bay Area shelter-in-place order is bein... by amluto on Monday April 27, 2020 @05:42PM (#23000451)
When you take a 7 day course of antibiotics, you are reducing your bacterial load to a level at which it is highly unlikely to bounce back from zero and, critically, the chance that it bounces back and selects for resistant strains is comfortably low.

No one seriously expects any length of shutdown in the US to reduce the case count enough to eliminate COVID-19. Worse, even if we reduce the case count to an unnoticeably low number, we’ve made essentially no progress toward a suppression strategy that will detect and control new cases to avoid another shutdown.

Re:The San Francisco Bay Area shelter-in-place order is bein... by BurningFrog on Monday April 27, 2020 @06:53PM (#23001099)
I didn't mean the parallel to be so literal.

I was more saying that you probably need to wait longer than it seems you should. In part because we're dealing with exponential growth.

> Worse, even if we reduce the case count to an unnoticeably low number, we’ve made essentially no progress toward a suppression strategy that will detect and control new cases to avoid another shutdown.

Another reason to postpone everyone getting infected is that the longer that waits, the better treatments we'll have for the sick.