News for hackers. Stuff that matters.

A comment on The San Francisco Bay Area shelter-in-place order is being extended through May. Parent comment

Re:The San Francisco Bay Area shelter-in-place order is bein... by smallgovt on Monday April 27, 2020 @05:11PM (#23000071)
> How is it moral to order people to shelter in place when their risk of death is 0.01% for 18-45 year olds

The data from your second source indicates that the case fatality rate in New York for 18-45 yr olds is 0.833% (14 deaths in 1705 confirmed cases). Where are you getting 0.01% from?

[ Parent | on HN ]
Re:The San Francisco Bay Area shelter-in-place order is bein... by glofish on Monday April 27, 2020 @05:15PM (#23000119)
the number of cases (infections) is at least an order of magnitude higher than the reported numbers.
[ Parent | on HN ]
Re:The San Francisco Bay Area shelter-in-place order is bein... by landryraccoon on Monday April 27, 2020 @09:16PM (#23002253)
I don't see how the math for that works out unless literally everyone in NYC is already infected.

0.1% of the population of New York City has already died from Covid. The only way to get the CFR much lower is if virtually everyone is an asymptomatic carrier.

[ Parent | on HN ]
Re:The San Francisco Bay Area shelter-in-place order is bein... by jhwang5 on Monday April 27, 2020 @05:16PM (#23000130)
Food for thought - if say 70% of cases are asymptomatic or mild (and therefore they don't get tested), then NYC's CFR already drops to 0.2% for the bucket you are referring to.
[ Parent | on HN ]
Re:The San Francisco Bay Area shelter-in-place order is bein... by newacct583 on Monday April 27, 2020 @05:19PM (#23000164)
In fact that's the number reported for that demographic from Wuhan data way back in January, so it wouldn't surprise anyone. It's still 20x higher than the one quoted upthread.
[ Parent | on HN ]