Re:In 4 US state prisons, 3,300 inmates test positive, 96% w...
by CydeWeys on Saturday April 25, 2020 @06:57PM
(#22982374)
You're using the death count for the entire state, not just NYC. The blood antibody test positive % for the overall state is 13, not 21. And the population is around 19.5 million.
So far as of Saturday at 6:49pm EST 16,919 have officially died in NYC.
I think the anti-body test in this case is fairly close and the death rate is probably 1% more or less depending on the demographic distribution. Obviously there are a number of people in NYC who will die over the next month even if all new infections where halted right now.
The serology tests are just wrong when only a small number of people in the sample were infected, which is what we’ve seen from the stuff in CA so far.