Re:French court upholds order limiting Amazon deliveries ami...
by taeric on Saturday April 25, 2020 @11:02AM
(#22978637)
I think some are looking at the step function on the IFR. With 90% of the deaths here in WA being people above 60, it is very misleading to look at a single population summary metric.
Put simply, this is more contagious than the flu, likely due to it being novel. It is vastly more deadly than the flu for elderly. Probably more than just an order of magnitude. That is, if you take out the people under 40 from the case rate, the IFR shoots way up. At a frightening level.
That's simply not true, and I don't understand how people keep repeating it. If you take the current New York study as the best available evidence, you get a symptomatic infection fatality rate of somewhere between 0.5% and 1.5%. That's an order of magnitude more dangerous than the flu.