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Re:Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents hav... by mlthoughts2018 on Friday April 24, 2020 @10:43PM (#22975111)
From the same Gelman article:

> First off, 3% does not sound implausible. If they said 30%, I’d be skeptical, given how everyone’s been hiding out for awhile, but 3%, sure, maybe so.

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