> To stray, you either have to be really smart (come up with a brilliant bet no one else sees), or really dumb (not realizing there are better bets to achieve your goal). Trump was the latter.

I guess I'm not convinced that it's easy to differentiate the two.

I'm no supporter of the current POTUS, but I think his reality-TV derived smarts are indeed a kind of "smarts", in the same way that con-artists, or even popular show-runners are very smart. For one thing, they know their audience.

Of course it's a disaster in our current situation, but I don't think he won the office through pure idiocy.