Re:The epidemiologist behind Sweden’s controversial coronavi...
by zamfi on Wednesday April 22, 2020 @08:21PM
(#22951581)
Ummm...
> There is clearly no evidence that stricter measures have any effect. If that was true, then there should at least be a linear correlation between strictness of measures vs. excess deaths, and that's simply not the case.
What? No, timing of measures is critical here. [0] The same exact strictness of measures, implemented a week later, can cause 4x more deaths (total, and thus per capita too) merely because of the delay.
Yes, English and Danish authorities should absolutely be terrified that they waited to long to act, just as the Swedish authorities should be.
> There is clearly no evidence that stricter measures have any effect. If that was true, then there should at least be a linear correlation between strictness of measures vs. excess deaths, and that's simply not the case.
What? No, timing of measures is critical here. [0] The same exact strictness of measures, implemented a week later, can cause 4x more deaths (total, and thus per capita too) merely because of the delay.
Yes, English and Danish authorities should absolutely be terrified that they waited to long to act, just as the Swedish authorities should be.
[0] https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-act-today-or-peop...