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Re:Nearly a third of blood samples taken in Chelsea show exp... by DenisM on Monday April 20, 2020 @07:12PM (#22929909)
Yes, it's 10% false positive. But it's not "really low" in the sense that it's typical for antibody tests. Which is one reason not to do wide-spread testing.
Re:Nearly a third of blood samples taken in Chelsea show exp... by subroutine on Monday April 20, 2020 @07:27PM (#22930042)
Or you could flip that around and make testing so plentiful everyone is tested 3x (perhaps by independent labs), so the FP rate is more like...

1/10 * 1/10 * 1/10 (1/1000)

Re:Nearly a third of blood samples taken in Chelsea show exp... by ejstronge on Monday April 20, 2020 @07:40PM (#22930179)
This would require that false positives are truly random and not influenced by sample-specific factors. Is this the case? In antibody testing, I would imagine that false positives result from cross-reactivity instead of random chance.
Re:Nearly a third of blood samples taken in Chelsea show exp... by subroutine on Monday April 20, 2020 @09:32PM (#22930943)
Sure, there are certainly protocols that could be made that would almost ensure FP is due to sample factors.... or even test related factors that would maximize 3x FP (same lab, same lab tech, same machine, same day, back to back, same reagent stock).

We shouldn't adopt those protocols.

Re:Nearly a third of blood samples taken in Chelsea show exp... by notforever on Monday April 20, 2020 @07:38PM (#22930157)
No good reason for test errors to be uncorrelated, ie. quite possible same people who trigger false positives on the first test would be false positives on the second etc.
Re:Nearly a third of blood samples taken in Chelsea show exp... by subroutine on Monday April 20, 2020 @09:57PM (#22931102)
Sure, there will probably be some correlation. Depends heavily on how the 3x testing is designed.

T1. Drive up saliva swab by nurse, for serology test.

T2. Re-deploy census peeps to get samples (and census info) from entire neighborhoods.

T3. 23andMe-like home kit express mail to lab

The odds of people getting a FP on all three might not be 1 in 1000, but it probably isn't 1 in 10.

Anyway, as it is, leading 1 in 10 people to falsely believe they are immune, isn't much better than having no test at all.

Re:Nearly a third of blood samples taken in Chelsea show exp... by zucker42 on Monday April 20, 2020 @07:39PM (#22930160)
Assuming false positives aren't correlated even with independently manufactured tests seems like a terrible idea to me, knowing little about medicine.
Re:Nearly a third of blood samples taken in Chelsea show exp... by subroutine on Monday April 20, 2020 @10:10PM (#22931162)
Sounds like you had a bad experience once, with 'double checking'.
Re:Nearly a third of blood samples taken in Chelsea show exp... by gmueckl on Monday April 20, 2020 @07:39PM (#22930165)
This assumes that the cause for false positive is in the test execution and not a contamination in the sample itself.