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A comment on Oil plunges below zero for first time with May contract ending. Parent comment

Re:Oil plunges below zero for first time with May contract e... by shadowgovt on Monday April 20, 2020 @03:53PM (#22927770)
Yes, it was predicted successfully (by everyone who is no longer holding a contract). It was also not predicted successfully (by everyone paying through the nose so they won't have to find a place to stash some barrels of a volatile compound).
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Re:Oil plunges below zero for first time with May contract e... by eru on Monday April 20, 2020 @03:58PM (#22927834)
It wasn't predicted successfully on average. Otherwise Friday would have already anticipated today's price.
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Re:Oil plunges below zero for first time with May contract e... by fredophile on Monday April 20, 2020 @06:24PM (#22929449)
How far do you want to take that argument? If successfully predicting it would mean that prices dropped to zero on Friday then shouldn't that have also been successfully predicted and impacted the price on Thursday? What about Wednesday, Tuesday, Monday?
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Re:Oil plunges below zero for first time with May contract e... by eru on Tuesday April 21, 2020 @03:20AM (#22932774)
Yes, that's exactly right.

But no one expects perfect predictions far into the future.

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