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A comment on Forecasting s-curves is hard. Parent comment
An epi curve is created from observations and shows new infections per day.
The Gompertz function is a mathematical formula and can be used to estimate total infections up to a date.
However, if you take the epi curve and plot the aggregate number of infections you'll find a curve that the Gompertz function approximates quite well.
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An epi curve is created from observations and shows new infections per day.
The Gompertz function is a mathematical formula and can be used to estimate total infections up to a date.
However, if you take the epi curve and plot the aggregate number of infections you'll find a curve that the Gompertz function approximates quite well.