And here is one [0] from another reputable news source that says more or less the opposite.

I think it's too early to call out a "winner strategy" - I think there will be a new wave when the different countries opens up - but that's my guess, and hey - I program computers on a daily basis, as far away as you probably can get from this kind of science.

(and yeah, I am a Swede)

[0] https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/world/corona-si...

None of them is reputable in this question. Both are heavily biased.

That article is specifically about elderly homes, not about the overall strategy. Elderly homes have been a disaster. But the decision to not force a lockdown via regulations like other countries have done has worked well so far.

Speaking to my family who lives in Sweden, while there is no official lockdown, they sure seems to be mostly confined to their homes. It's based on recommendations rather than regulations, but the effect is the same.