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A comment on Forecasting s-curves is hard. Parent comment

Re:Forecasting s-curves is hard by diehunde on Sunday April 19, 2020 @04:55PM (#22918710)
His project[1] was part of program created by IARPA[2] so I wouldn't be that skeptical

[1]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Good_Judgment_Project

[2]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Intelligence_Advanced_Research...

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Re:Forecasting s-curves is hard by stev_stev on Sunday April 19, 2020 @05:00PM (#22918745)
Are these what the book is based off of? Or are these just the credentials of the author? In the former case I would find that more compelling to be worth looking into than just the link to the amazon book. In any case, I wasn’t trying to specifically dismiss the book (which I have not read) but just pointing out that linking to book of that sort doesn’t give me (personally) the feeling that there is much weight behind the citation. The other links you provided do the opposite!
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Re:Forecasting s-curves is hard by diehunde on Sunday April 19, 2020 @05:13PM (#22918838)
Yes the book is based on that project.
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Re:Forecasting s-curves is hard by stev_stev on Sunday April 19, 2020 @05:16PM (#22918860)
Word
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