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A comment on With broad, random tests for antibodies, Germany seeks path out of lockdown. Parent comment

Re:With broad, random tests for antibodies, Germany seeks pa... by standardUser on Sunday April 19, 2020 @04:09PM (#22918411)
We can roughly estimate precisely nothing until we know how many people have been infected, how many are immune and how long immunity lasts. We currently know none of those things.
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Re:With broad, random tests for antibodies, Germany seeks pa... by anotheryou on Sunday April 19, 2020 @05:54PM (#22919108)
I took the best case scenario: all tested become immune for ever. If you want add a 3x factor for unreported cases and you're still at 10 years waiting time.

Estimates make sense, especially if they proof your point even if you are off by a factor of 10.

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