Re:Forecasting s-curves is hard
by Spooky23 on Sunday April 19, 2020 @02:11PM
(#22917634)
Uncertainty is part of the business for something like this. Good faith, open communication is essential to public expense.
That’s one of the reasons why some of the governors in the US are getting accolades as their approach to communication contrasts against other political figures with a more political focused approach.
Capturing and interpreting risk appropriately is more important than being right. The various models scoped the problem, but it’s hard to model things like a complete breakdown of federal response.
That’s one of the reasons why some of the governors in the US are getting accolades as their approach to communication contrasts against other political figures with a more political focused approach.
Capturing and interpreting risk appropriately is more important than being right. The various models scoped the problem, but it’s hard to model things like a complete breakdown of federal response.