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A comment on California Covid-19 traffic report finds silver lining. Parent comment

Re:California Covid-19 traffic report finds silver lining by arcticbull on Sunday April 19, 2020 @02:23AM (#22913967)
Not really actually! In your age category 50-59 your case fatality rate is 1.3% [1] and given the way it affects the older end of the band more significantly than yourself in the middle of the band, it wouldn't be at all unlikely that your case fatality rate is right around 1%.

Further, we have been seeing anywhere from 30-80% of cases are asymptomatic or result in mild flulike symptoms and therefore not accounted for in case fatality rates. Indeed the Gangelt study put the overall infection fatality rate at 0.37% when Germany's case fatality rate is around 2%. It wouldn't surprise me at all if your risk was about 7X lower than the stated 1.3%, as low as 0.25%

I also wouldn't be so quick to assume car crashes are a pleasant way to go.

[1] https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-age-se...

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Re:California Covid-19 traffic report finds silver lining by dennisgorelik on Sunday April 19, 2020 @04:34PM (#22918590)
> In your age category 50-59 your case fatality rate is 1.3%

Most of the passengers on the Diamond Princes cruise ship were 65+ years old.

Only 0.23% of the passengers died after Covid-19 outbreak.

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Re:California Covid-19 traffic report finds silver lining by lisper on Sunday April 19, 2020 @02:28AM (#22913992)
I worry about car crashes too! :-)
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Re:California Covid-19 traffic report finds silver lining by arcticbull on Sunday April 19, 2020 @10:21PM (#22920579)
That's a very reasonable reaction.
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Re:California Covid-19 traffic report finds silver lining by greedo on Sunday April 19, 2020 @11:16AM (#22916454)
Germany's CFR is north of 3% now, and steadily climbing.
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Re:California Covid-19 traffic report finds silver lining by arcticbull on Sunday April 19, 2020 @09:26PM (#22920311)
CFR is not IFR, it's not even particularly helpful or meaningful because it varies so much by demographics and hospital capacity.
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