Re:Covid-19 Antibody Seroprevalence in Santa Clara County, C...
by ignoramous on Friday April 17, 2020 @04:02PM
(#22902446)
> ...noticeable reduction in the spread?
I believe the SIR model [0] answers those questions. 3blue1brown's video on the topic is super digestible and informative [1].
In short, the discovery of a prophylactic if not a therapeutic treatment are our best immediate bets, absent which, quarantines and lockdowns will have to persist to curb the spread of a disease as infectious as covid-19 whilst we patiently wait for an effective vaccine against it [2].
I believe the SIR model [0] answers those questions. 3blue1brown's video on the topic is super digestible and informative [1].
In short, the discovery of a prophylactic if not a therapeutic treatment are our best immediate bets, absent which, quarantines and lockdowns will have to persist to curb the spread of a disease as infectious as covid-19 whilst we patiently wait for an effective vaccine against it [2].
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Compartmental_models_in_epidem...
[1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gxAaO2rsdIs
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vaccine_efficacy