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Re:Covid-19 Antibody Seroprevalence in Santa Clara County, C... by tom-thistime on Friday April 17, 2020 @03:30PM (#22902179)
Ok, we can't conclude anything about the rate of symptoms from testing that was only conducted on people showing severe symptoms. I don't think we can conclude much of anything from the OP either, because its rate of positives seems compatible with the rate of false positives from the test. They could have 0% infected, they could have 5% infected.

An example where testing was conducted without requiring symptoms first: https://taskandpurpose.com/news/uss-theodore-roosevelt-sailo...

Re:Covid-19 Antibody Seroprevalence in Santa Clara County, C... by wool_gather on Friday April 17, 2020 @03:46PM (#22902312)
Yes, although note that it's not clear which kind of test is being used by the Navy there.

If it's the nasal swab-PCR test that most civilians are getting, then the claim of "asymptomatic" must be accompanied by a "yet". We can't really conclude anything for at least two weeks after the positive result -- after seeing whether those people ever develop symptoms.

If it's blood-antibody testing, then we can give the statement a little more weight, because a positive result would mean the infection is in a later stage or even past. I have no idea whether the Navy is using these tests.

Re:Covid-19 Antibody Seroprevalence in Santa Clara County, C... by jboy55 on Friday April 17, 2020 @03:48PM (#22902329)
Also, they weren't able to factor out a bias towards people seeking confirmation tests due to perceived COVID symptoms.

This is in the bay area, where people were very quick to self-quarantine. Most people have been working from home since early March. They were asking people to break their self-quarantine to get tested without having any symptoms?