People want to make things complicated and not take anything at face value, but if you look at global cases on a log scale, you see how they started exponential, flattened out, and then once there was a foothold outside china, went exponential again, and now is flattening again.

Wouldn't it be logical to assume this will repeat as soon as people decide it's under control again? How can you go back to normal, before everyone has caught it, and expect the rate not to go back to exponential?