US is generally not testing people with mild symptoms to significant symptoms. We are mostly telling people to stay home until you have difficulty breathing.

That’s why are deaths to cases ratio is so high before the new infection rate has dropped to near zero for weeks. Adjusting for infection vs death curve in China US deaths from people currently infected are likely to hit in the ballpark of 50k to 100k. Assuming we get new infections under control in the next few days and keep it low for the next month.